Monday, June 29, 2009

Economics of nuclear power

I haven't time to read this right now but I think you'll be interested.
 
 
-Max 
 
--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!
 
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)
 
 

Climate change costs

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124588837560750781.html

"The reality is that cost estimates for climate legislation are as unreliable as the models predicting climate change."

An interesting point, and one I hadn't thought of. Of course it cuts both ways, especially for someone as economically ignorant as me, so my takeaway may be rather different than what the author intended. I guess I'm acquiring more epistemological humility as I get older[1].

-Max

[1] Losing arguments with K. probably doesn't hurt that process either. And yes, it is possible to lose an argument with someone you haven't seen in years, if you can remember what they used to tell you.

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Revision? Dinosaur weights

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/06/22/dinosaur_weight_revisionism/

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a
man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and
desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although
he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F.
Smith (manual, p. 69)

Friday, June 19, 2009

Programming languages overview

May also be of interest, if you have time. I've found Peter Van Roy's thoughts on this subject to be cogent in the past.
 
 
-Max
 
--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!
 
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)
 
 

When is a picture worth a thousand words?

On diagrams and problem-solving:

http://social.cs.uiuc.edu/class/cs591kgk/LarkinSimon87.pdf

It's 36 pages long, so be warned. I haven't actually finished it yet,
but so far it's interesting.

-Max

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a
man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and
desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although
he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F.
Smith (manual, p. 69)

Health Care Costs

Interesting story: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124536722522229323.html

As most of corporate America sits on the health-care sidelines -- issuing vague statements, trying not to offend a new U.S. president -- Mr. Burd has charged into the political debate. "I'm here because health-care simply isn't a partisan issue," he says. There is what works, and what doesn't. "I'm genuinely concerned someone might try to solve this by nationalizing health care, at the moment we at Safeway have proven that it is the market that reins in costs."

Prove it, he can. As recently as 2004, Safeway was suffocating under health-care costs growing at 10% a year. Mr. Burd, who had long been intellectually and politically drawn to the health-care issue, decided it was time to hit the restart button. He blew up the company's existing health-care structure and replaced it with one that embodied market principles -- choice, responsibility, competition and price.

Today, Safeway has accomplished what Washington claims is the goal: The company's per-capita health-care expenses have remained flat, compared to the near 40% increase experienced by the rest of corporate America over the past four years. This has not been done by cutting care or shifting costs to employees. Nearly 80% of the 30,000 nonunion Safeway workers who take part in the program rate it good, very good, or excellent. [snip]

-Max

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Legal vs. natural rights

Thomas Jefferson talked about "natural" and "inalienable rights" which came from Nature, and as a kid I never really understood what he meant: a right, I reasoned, is always granted by someone and must by acknowledged by them in order to take effect. If I give you the right to buy oil from me at $80 a barrel--a right which is worth nothing unless oil starts trading at higher than $80 a barrel--that right came from me and will be enforced by me. Talking about self-existing rights makes no sense. Suppose I claimed I had a "right" to medical treatment for my cancer (if I had cancer). From whom does such a right come? If someone refuses to treat me, because I can't pay them, to whom do I go for recourse? Such a right is no right at all, it's just nonsense.

There's another sense in which we sometimes use the term "right," though, and it basically comes down to this: if intelligent and right-thinking people[1] would universally find no fault with you in a certain course of action, then you have the right to take that course of action. For instance, you have the right to marry someone you're actually attracted to[2]. Some people might fault you for holding out, but no celestial beings will[3]. If we wanted to draw a distinction between these two usages of the word right, I propose that we call the first kind "legal rights," granted to you by some other entity, and "natural rights," because I think that's what Thomas Jefferson pretty much meant by his use of the term. To say that man has a right to "life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness," is not to say that anyone is required to GIVE them to you--inalienable rights cannot be given or taken, else they'd not be inalienable. Rather, it is to assert that one can claim that for one's self, or seek to claim them, with a clear conscience, no matter what or who may claim otherwise.

-Max

[1] I.e. all celestial beings.

[2] And yes, this is one of the reasons I think about rights sometimes. There's a part of my psyche that still feels bad about dying a bachelor, eventually, but I really do have the right not to marry someone I don't want to marry. Plus, it's impossible to marry anyone against your will anyway, at least in the temple.

[3] Or if they do, then by definition you DON'T have that right. It certainly wouldn't be the first time I've been wrong, or even the thousandth. But I'm pretty sure you actually do have that right, because it's testified of all over the scriptures and throughout the gospel.

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Thoughts on investment and inflation

[I didn't Cc the blog on this originally last week but now I've changed my mind because I think it's important.]
 
From a co-worker of mine, some interesting thoughts. Emphasis added.
 
Maturity mismatch is the main purpose of the modern banking business existence! Normal people are presumed to be unwilling to lend money to someone for more than one year, yet the industry needs this sort of loans. The banks therefore borrow short and loan long, lying to depositors about being able to return their deposits on time. The FDIC is there to instill confidence in the lies. [snip]
 
Back when we did not have the bond  market what banks were doing was justifiable – in order to finance the industry somebody had to pry the savings away from populace, evaluate risks and borrow out the funds. Now there is simply no excuse for this anymore – people should invest their savings directly or via special vehicles (e.g. mutual funds) with explicit understanding of commitment terms and risk levels instead of the vague "magic FDIC will save me!". Maturity transformation is steroidal and we're well into "drug abuse" territory.
 
On a related note, people should not be using fiat currency as a store of value, because doing so is implicitly transforming the responsibility for investment management from the individual to the state. It's wrong for the same reason that maturity transformation is wrong – people surrender responsibility for managing their wealth without knowing they did so. (Hoarding hard currency is fine since you are explicitly committing to invest into gold or silver commodity).
 
Interesting way of thinking about it, no?
 
-Max
 
--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!
 
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

Irony

Just as we're phasing out incandescent light bulbs for energy-efficiency, someone invents a cheap way to boost incandescent efficiency by more than 65%:
 
The process could make a light as bright as a 100-watt bulb consume less electricity than a 60-watt bulb while remaining far cheaper and radiating a more pleasant light than a fluorescent bulb. Despite the incredible intensity involved, the femtosecond laser can be powered by a simple wall outlet, meaning that when the process is refined, implementing it to augment regular light bulbs should be relatively simple...
 
It seems that Professor Chunlei Guo of Rochester hit upon the idea of brightening-up lightbulb filaments following earlier experiments in which he and his team used laser zapping to turn metals completely black. This worked so well that Guo and his cohorts wondered if they could reverse the process.
 
"We fired the laser beam right through the glass of the bulb and altered a small area on the filament," says the prof. "When we lit the bulb, we could actually see this one patch was clearly brighter than the rest of the filament, but there was no change in the bulb's energy usage."
 
It seems that Guo and his team of lightbulb-blasting boffins can also produce other strange effects, getting incandescent bulbs to emit partially polarised or differently-coloured light - without the energy-wasting filters that would normally be necessary.
 
-Max

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Birdcam

You may enjoy this: http://wimp.com/hawkssee

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

Compassion

Well, isn't this interesting. Dante vs. Vlad.
 
But then things got surprising. When Rokia was presented with the statistics, the donations fell by nearly half. Worse still, when the authors asked one set of subjects to perform mathematical calculations and the other set of subjects to describe their feelings when they heard the word "baby," the subjects who'd done math gave only about half as much to Rokia as the ones who'd thought about babies. Apparently, just thinking analytically makes us stingier. The authors of the study concluded that "calculative thought lessens the appeal of an identifiable victim."
 
-Max
 
--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!
 
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)
 
 

Sunday, May 31, 2009

Life Is

Annie,

I thought you might get a chuckle out of this, given our recent conversation.

-Max

Subject: Life Is

He says:

Life is a battlefield. Sometimes you get shot at, sometimes you get pieces shot off of you, but if you pull yourself together and keep moving forward, in spite of all the Adversary can send against you, and reach the finish line with your precious charges intact: this is victory.

She says:

Life is a garden, full of wondrous plants and animals to nurture. Some are flashy, others are small and ugly and easy to overlook but when given a little water and sunshine and human kindness they grow into something wonderful: this is victory.

They stare at each other in mutual incomprehension. This is love.

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Monogamy & Me

Dear J.,

Sometime during the past year I became persuaded, unwillingly, that a truth I had darkly suspected for some time about myself was actually true: I am not, and presumably men in general are not, actually monogamous by nature. If we appear to be monogamous it is a secondary emotion, a consequence of empathy for and desire to avoid causing pain to our partners--a logical and not an emotional choice--but our basic nature is to treat relationships on an individual basis: I can be completely and totally in love with Sarah[1] and it has nothing to do with anyone except Sarah, and I can at the same time be mildly attracted to Sue because of who she is, and at the same time I can admire, respect, and love Sally on her own merits. These feelings are not mutually exclusive except to the extent that, for instance, Sarah and Sally each feel threatened by my feelings for the other, in which case circumstances force me to choose between them. Part of love is wanting what makes the other person happy, and so obviously if Sarah is unhappy if I love Sally and vice versa, loving both is an inconsistent state of affairs and can't actually exist for long. In practice, here in the mortal realm the choice is simplified by the temporal ordering: typically you'll find that I've made a commitment to Sally prior to ever meeting Sarah (e.g. we're married) so the relationship with Sally takes precedence.

Of course, this propensity to treat relationships individually doesn't always relate to marriage. You'll see it crop up in other places, such as dealing with children (fact: you don't have the same relationship with all your children, and with some you get along better than others). You'll also note that Heavenly Father is renowned for his ability to have personalized, completely individual relationships with all of his children... and Heavenly Father is male. Significant? I don't know, maybe all celestial beings are like that.

As always, I may be completely wrong about this whole topic, but this is my best understanding from the data that I have available to me here and the thinking I've been able to do. If I'm wrong it will be pointed out to me eventually by someone or other or something.

-M.

[1] To pick a name out of a hat.

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

Monday, May 25, 2009

Stories

I think you should read this:
http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/lost-heroes-of-the-war-on-terror-gallant-deeds-and-untold-tales/

-Max

--
Rock Is Dead. Long Live Scissors!

"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a
man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and
desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although
he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F.
Smith (manual, p. 69)

Friday, May 15, 2009

Wise words from my older sister

Facebook status update:

Corinne Wilson
is so happy that Tim took her to see Marriage of Figaro at McCaw Hall. A man that has sat patiently through 3 hours of opera music is a man that has proven his true love.

;)

-Max

--
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

"Inasmuch as ye have done it unto one of the least of these my brethren, ye have done it unto me."

Thursday, May 14, 2009

The mysteries of the female mind ("Musings..." continued)

On Thu, May 14, 2009 at 10:05 AM, ... wrote:
>  I don't know if women feel very secure around me
>cause that thought never came to mind, that it would
>be important to them.  I will see about mulling over
>how to implement the idea.

This is one reason men have to learn how to listen for the sake of listening. It makes a woman feel safe if she can, for instance, have a grouchy crabby day without feeling that it's going to make a man think less of her. It also makes her feel safe if she can talk about her feelings (e.g. "our house is too small") without him jumping up to try to change things that she knows can't be changed right now ("we can't afford it"). It makes her feel safe when she can just be herself.

-Max

--
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

"Inasmuch as ye have done it unto one of the least of these my brethren, ye have done it unto me."

Musings on womankind

On Wed, May 13, 2009 at 11:02 AM, ... wrote:
> I agree.  I'm still hopeful that you and I will find a woman
> worth marrying that reciprocates such feelings.

Well, obviously yes. Simple logic says that in an infinite universe, anything which exists in quantities greater than 1 exists in infinite quantity. I know of more than one (though currently fewer than five) girls whom I would be willing to marry, if she wanted us to. Ergo, there are an infinite number, and sooner or later one of them will reciprocate the feeling and we probably will get married. That's all in the far future, though, and not really something that should concern us in the here-and-now. We've always known things are going to turn out well in the long run.

In other words, I'm currently optimistic about individual relationships, not just the far future. I'm gradually realizing that women are far more security-driven than men are. Regardless of whom you eventually marry, regardless of whom W----- eventually marries, current data suggests that inasmuch as you show unconditional love[1] for W-----, there's a part of her that appreciates it[2] and you have a good chance of being friends in the long-term. With her as an individual, not just some random fungible woman. To me that's a cheerful thought.

To put it yet another way, current evidence is that your friendship with W----- is based on something fundamentally solid: http://scriptures.lds.org/en/dc/88/40#40. Of course we won't know for sure until all the data are in and the world is over.

-Max

[1] Using the conventional terminology. I'd pick a different word for it myself, but I think you get the idea.

[2] Which isn't to say that she doesn't have other feelings as well. E.g. she may appreciate knowing that you will always be there for her, but simultaneously feel bad for not being attracted to you, etc. Women are emotionally complex.

--
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

"Inasmuch as ye have done it unto one of the least of these my brethren, ye have done it unto me."

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Benjamin F. Johnson journal

[Interesting story. K. would appreciate the logic, I think. I hate to admit it, but I think I can understand it now too, which I would not have said five years ago.]

And with these industries another seemed to force itself upon me, and the writing of it may prompt reflection. We are taught charity, and to refrain from judging, as we may not know the motive of another; and looking back, I realize that in my "strait jacket" of prejudice, I may have been uncharitable towards others. As example. I was so adverse to the use of ardent spirits that I could disfellowship or despise those who would make or sell it, without pity–almost a marvel in me. Father Miller, an old soldier of 1812 owned a place joining ours and ran a distillery. Buying his place, I could suffer loss unless we ran the distillery for a time. At first I felt repugnance at the thought, but a voice within said, "you have judged others, and the Lord would now prove you," and I felt confident the hand of the Lord was in it. So I laid off my straight jacket, and went into the distillery, but did not forget my prayers. My son B. Farland, about 16, was my principal help and became expert. Many came to buy whiskey to whom I had none to sell. Elderly people got it, and perhaps a second glass, but no more, and I made it to myself a field of mission labor, especially to the young; and it was said my words & example had a lasting effect upon many. From the wild carrot and from Sorghum, we made spirits which we sold in quantity where it would do no harm to our people. But we did not continue it long, when winter approached we ceased it entirely.

-Max

--
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

"Inasmuch as ye have done it unto one of the least of these my brethren, ye have done it unto me."

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Piracy: macro effects

 
According to NATO, piracy's recent peak actually came in 2003, with approximately 450 acts worldwide. In the last few years, it's hovered more in the 250-to-300 range, but 2009 gives all indications of being a banner year. Most estimates say the Somali pirates alone pulled in about $150 million in ransom in 2008, and that was only from tapping about one in every 100 cargo ships.

Given those odds, you can expect the shipping companies to continue resisting the calls for armed guards on ships. It's simply easier to write off what are, to them, paltry costs from the occasional ransom payment.

But here's the rub for navies worldwide: Container traffic, while temporarily depressed by the economic slowdown, is expected to continue growing by leaps and bounds in the years ahead, much like it doubled over the last decade. Prior to 9/11, less than 1 percent of containers were seriously inspected, and even today I'd be amazed to come across figures that seriously suggested double-digit percentages were being achieved consistently by anybody, despite the many promises by politicians to have 100 percent transparency in the future.

-Max

--
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

"Inasmuch as ye have done it unto one of the least of these my brethren, ye have done it unto me."

George McGovern

Remember that article I sent you from McGovern a year or so ago on accountability and the subprime crisis? I originally read the article, thought to myself, "This writer talks good sense." Then I noticed it was by George McGovern and went, "Hunh. I didn't think Democrats thought this way."
 
Well, I thought this article was interesting too. It's about compulsory arbitration in labor disputes: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124165379013293871.html
 
I'd be interested to know more about this man.
 
-Max

--
"The presentation or 'gift' of the Holy Ghost simply confers upon a man the right to receive at any time, when he is worthy of it and desires it, the power and light of truth of the Holy Ghost, although he may often be left to his own spirit and judgment." --Joseph F. Smith (manual, p. 69)

"Inasmuch as ye have done it unto one of the least of these my brethren, ye have done it unto me."